AI, Strawberries & the Trough of Disillusionment

3 ways we expect this all to unfold

Welcome to another edition of the best damn newsletter in AI.

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Here's what we're covering today:

  • The Trough of Disillusionment

  • Google’s getting into the custom GPT game

  • & more

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TODAY’S PERSPECTIVE

AI, Strawberries & the Trough of Disillusionment

If you’re following AI, chances are you’ve heard of the Gartner’s hype cycle curve. Basically the cycle is after a peak of hype and inflated expectations, we land in the Trough of Disillusionment.

Welcome, we’re probably here.

There could be many reasons for this:

  1. Many announced and not-launched features by major AI players like OpenAI

  2. Rushed AI features launched in nearly every SaaS app known to man

  3. The media cycle over-hyping then over-negging anything that happens

  4. AI is hard — ChatGPT lowered the barrier to entry; but it didn’t mean everything will be easy.

On top of this disillusionment, we have looming launches on the horizon — including OpenAI’s GPT5 (with maybe advanced reasoning and math capabilities, nicknamed project Strawberry).

It’s a weird time.

To provide a little bit of perspective, today we’ll share 3 things that our team’s expecting with future AI improvements:

  1. It still won’t be magic (for a while)

  2. It will be awesome to be a consumer with AI

  3. It will be lucrative to help businesses with AI

It still won’t be magic (for a while)

If ‘magic’ is defined as something that just does what you want without you telling, configuring or controlling it — we think we’re still a while aways from magic.

The biggest difference we expect to come is AI that truly follows the instructions you provide it, reasons through data and shows its thinking, and is able to pay attention to more things and make more novel connections.

It will be awesome to be a consumer with AI

While we won’t have literal magic, it might still feel like we do.

A lot of the best imagineers build consumer apps. And when done right, there can be a lot of money in helping consumers do things — like shop for you, book travel for you, curate education, and more.

It will be lucrative to help businesses with AI

AI is just like any other knowledge work skill.

Just like you can be ‘doing marketing’ without getting results; you can also be ‘doing AI’ with nothing of real value to show.

The value will accrue to the ones who are able to apply AI to make a real impact.

What do you think? What questions are top of mind? Hit reply and let us know!

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LINKS

For your reading list 📚

AI is transforming the internet and how we interact with it...

AI's impact on image manipulation and the potential risks...

AI's struggles with simple tasks and the ongoing advancements...

Regulation and transparency in AI development...

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